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Thread: Winning Odds
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Old 10-19-2022, 12:09 PM   #8
ranchwest
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Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,152
Quote:
Originally Posted by soflant View Post
The chart I am looking for is for example what is the winning percentage of a 4-1 horse at post time? Now I am not looking for it's probably of winning but what is it's actual winning percentage? Thanks.
It's a huge problem nowadays. There is so much late money going down that you really have no idea what the final odds will be. This week I saw a horse go from 8/1 at a few minutes to post to 3/1 as they loaded in the gates to 3/5 final odds. And ran second! It happens often.

But, there is an approximate correlation between odds and percentage of wins. So, I think the best answer to your question is that horses at 7/2 or less win most races. Of course, that does not help very much.
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