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Top horses have shrunk about 5-6 points on the Beyer scale since the time of Candy Ride, gotten way faster on Thorograph, and stayed about the same on Ragozin.
I know the theory and goal is to use figures to compare horses across generations, but imo they are laughably inaccurate. The best figure makers can barely agree on last week, let alone last week vs 20 years ago. And that's not a knock.
I think the kind of comparisons Spalding No! is doing are way more appropriate for generational comparisons of top older horses than figures as long as you are very familiar with the horses in specific races, the trips, biases, (which he always is) and have some kind of metrics for margins and finishing positions (like what does winning by 19 lengths against weaker mean relative to winning by 5 against much stronger etc..)
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Last edited by classhandicapper; 09-09-2022 at 09:51 AM.
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