Quote:
Originally Posted by ultracapper
39 years of this handicapping thing and still......
have real trouble assessing just how good a closing kick is.
I see them passing tiring horses.
I see them run a solid final 1/4 mile time.
I see them eat up ground from the 1/8 pole and just miss.
And then, the next race........flat in the lane......sometimes....and other times....... finish strong again and get there.
If you understand the point I'm making, any feedback would be appreciated.
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Every airport passenger (HORSE) has it's own unique ability.
In picking a winner or understanding a race, you have to consider both the ability of the airport passenger, and a unique "Travelator/moving-walkway" (EVERY OTHER SIGNIFICANT FACTOR THAT AFFECTS THE OUTCOME) for each horse as well.
Then, in betting for value, you have to consider an additional factor of the odds. The Odds make it so that most, or even
all of the horses will end up
further away from the plane (or car-rental!), than when it started.
