Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz
The make-an-oddsline-and-bet-into-the-tote is simply dead. The tote is a moving target.
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I am still making odds lines and betting overlays with success (happily for both of us since I have bought your data for at least a dozen years).
I can see a difference in the plays available. They are fewer for me and much more slanted towards high priced horses. I don't know if the whales are reluctant to bet the hoses with little other money in the pool or if they will take away that value in time.
With high odds plays the losing streaks are longer and since I see things evolving I can have no certainty that good results will return until they do.
If it is true that whales are operating on slim after rebate margins and the competitive landscape is changing, I would think it would be very difficult for them to distinguish a short term streak from a change that would dictate significant adjustments or retreat.
