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Old 10-29-2018, 06:49 PM   #31
ARAZI91
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Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 89
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro View Post
Well Arazi91 thank you for taking the time for explaining why the overall average position of the Placer is so important!

Apparently, you’ve also answered the question as to why my figures that were based on ACTUAL time splits, final time, beaten lengths and track variants were so flawed and misguided. You see, I never considered the fictional concept of the using numbers based on HYPOTHETICAL theories such as “how the race should be run” or where the horses “should finish behind each other”.

Gee, I always thought that analyzing the running and of each race was based on REALITY. Thank goodness I gave all that up!

By all means - Carry on!
Fair Do's Nitro - you asked a question regarding the significance of studies such as the type requested by the opening poster and i tried to answer from a viewpoint which seems quite obvious to me. Replace the Actual , Hypothetical and Reality terms in bold with something more probabilistic and we may even have some common ground. If your using times , beaten margins , worth of beaten margins , weight etc , it seems quite sensible (to me anyway) to study/model those variables as well.
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