Quote:
Originally Posted by burnsy
I don’t really play the smaller tracks and this is one reason why. I took a quick look at numbers and (if I’m right) one race handle at Belmont is just about the whole card at Lone Star. Which means the big bets can influence the will pays way more intensively. One or a few people that think they have a good thing can influence the pay out to the point of it being ridiculous like what happened in this instance.
The advantage at these tracks are playing the picks sometimes. Because those bets are wide open and an over bet in this case can turn a not so difficult sequence into a really good will pay. Over the coarse of more races the chances of “that money” being wrong increases. I’m not saying the big bets don’t influence the will pays at big venues. We’ve all seen examples where you get underpaid at Belmont or Saratoga. But go across the street to Saratoga Harness and this literally happens like 4 or 5 times a night! When it comes to pari mutuel wagering I just prefer the largest pools and the highest quality horses. I’m really not a degenerate horse player. I’m looking for a fair chance or even an advantage that helps me win. Which means finding under lays that have as em balance of a chance . It just seems like the bigger venues give you more will pays like that over extended periods of time.
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There's also a lot more eyes on the larger tracks.
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Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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