Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I always felt like the Sartin advocates had an interesting approach because I think pace internals and track/distance/surface profiles may be under-appreciated. The way they do things seems like it’s suited to that kind of analysis. But I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a model that captures the complexity of it all well in a formula.
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To do effective “pace internal” handicapping we need an accurate way of measuring the horses’ internal moves so we can relate them to the fractional clockings. Such an accurate measurement method isn’t forthcoming, so instead of effective pace handicapping, we have just guesswork. It’s like telling the drug dealer to measure his cocaine with a penny scale.