Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I've been using multiple sets of speed figures for many many years.
On one level it helps. If two or more sources agree (within a 1/5th or 2/5ths), it's more likely you are in the ballpark about how fast the horse actually ran. If they disagree by a lot, then it requires some investigation to try to figure out why and who might be right. That can be time consuming and get confusing at times, but I don't really love the idea of just sticking with one. With only one you have the added risk that when you are getting a good price, it's not because you have good value. It's because your single source has the race wrong and other sources have it right.
I look at both speed figures and class figures also. I tested system generated class figures plus Beyer speed figures. The combination outperforms either rating alone. But again, when they disagree it can get confusing.
I don't think I'll ever resolve the upside of verifying figures vs. the extra confusion it generates. I keep doing it and keep trying to get better at it.
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When your "multiple sets of speed figures" disagree, and you try to "figure out why and who might be right", do you find that one set of figures is usually right...or are different figures right at different times?
