Quote:
Originally Posted by headhawg
Speaking of burnt, I have spent the last 2+ months and a lot -- a lot -- of hours testing systems / spot plays only to find that there's not much out there. Some of it was old stuff I had, and I bought some more recent things to test. Can I get my money back? To be honest, if you think inside the box you are going to land on short-priced horses. There's nothing wrong with that, but the system has to be better than playing the favorite which gets what...37% wins and a .83-ish ROI?
I think some of the algorithms you have in your programs do a real nice job of producing good prices. I don't know those algorithms (obviously), but you probably have some odd combination of things that handicapping "logic" doesn't normally put together. The RTF method you posted uses what most people look at when handicapping -- speed, layoff, trainer rating, up-close, etc. Maybe put some weird angle in there and see what happens.
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Speaking of returning 1/2 of the RPm systems that I thought would make me a better horseplayer I wanted to return the same day
Some of them were actually pretty good and still use in some sort of way now but like what I said before 1/2 of the systems were complete trash