Quote:
Originally Posted by topgun
Hello,
I want to ask, if there is anybody on this board that feels they are a expert a picking the right pacelines. Please, I would like to hear your thoughts.
Thanks,
Gun
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I've not used paceline selection in well-over a decade, but I can tell you how I did it then.
First, I built a set of rules that start with the most preferred/represented lines, and worked backwards. Then I fine-tuned the rules.
I can tell you that this was not an easy endeavor. It took me many hours but was worth the effort.
Eventually, I coded it into my software. (Coded it as a programmable system for the end user.)
The key to making the entire process work is to begin with 40 or 50 horses, selecting paceline(s), and formulating "Why" as a set of steps.
For example:
(My opinion)
The most representative paceline in a dirt sprint race is the most recent dirt sprint in which the horse was within a head (win or lose) at the finish.
This approach tells you how good this horse really is. If he lost and is really better than this, he would have won. If he won by a head and was actually better, it wouldn't have been so close.
Dave
