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Old 02-12-2018, 10:31 AM   #4
Elliott Sidewater
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Audubon, PA
Posts: 427
Here are some guidelines that may help:

try to pick pacelines from the same distance structure (sprint/route) and surface (dirt/turf/synthetic)

try to find a representative race within the last 3 or 4 races, if possible.

avoid lines that appear aberrant in a good or bad sense*, or where the horse experienced trouble in the running or at the start. Where possible, avoid races that were taken off the turf.

within the context of the above guidelines, prefer a line from a race at today's track to one at another track

most important - try to pick a line that as closely as possible matches today's projected pace.

Following these guidelines may lead to contradictory choices, so when in doubt pick a line as close to the top as possible

* for example, (don't pick) the only race in the visible past performances where the horse took the lead, or a race on an off track where the field was strung out through the running.

Practice and concentration while handicapping will improve your paceline selections over time. If you can handicap a couple races per day without betting and go back after the races are run to critique your own work, that is probably the fastest way to get good at picking pacelines. It's more an art than a science, so don't expect perfection.
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