Given there has been a different winner for almost every prep one could consider this one the most competitive fields in history or one of the biggest piles of shat in history.
With the fall of Instagrand, this Derby now appears to be lacking a cheap speed horse and not a heck of a lot of speed in general. The closing speed in the 9F challenges has been underwhelming at best. If a colt like Maximum Security gets in front then he can potentially stay there all day. He's the same female family as Bodemeister, Forty Niner, Swale, Genuine Risk, etc. He's also the fastest horse in the race if you believe Beyer, the only RAN horse to post fast final 3/8 and 1/8 fractions, the winner of the FL Derby that has won about half these things the past couple decades, splits that no longer look like walking the dog after the farce displayed in the Santa Anita, and the only horse (pending the Ark) to post a triple digit Beyer figure (two of them). You might get 7-1 or more on him. Better shot than most in here.
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