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Old 01-19-2021, 11:02 AM   #70
Robert Fischer
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
Andy Serling has done a nice job of highlighting interesting/useable mid-range prices, and pointing out overpriced contenders.

Especially lately, his show with The Big A, has been less about trying to pick the most likeliest winner of every race, but more about value considerations.
[shouts to Big A Stabile, while his technique is more straightforward likely winners regardless of price, - for that mention of "Baba" r4? the other day in a huge 25/1+ price include winner]

That fact (consideration of value by Andy) can be missed, if you just peek at selections, or tune in to a part of a segment.

Often (but not always) he tends to put the horse-to-beat 2nd in interesting races, and the strong chalk first, in more straight forward races...

Good food for thought, as sometimes they win, sometimes they fill out a Tri, sometimes I disagree (while exercising the thought process involved in handicapping a consideration or trip). Just as valuable are the same considerations for say why a Chalk or a 2nd-choice is likely to be overbet.


Had a lucky month, and played pretty much only maidens and/or large fields at several different tracks, but Aqueduct (and occasionally Triple Clowns!) are the only shows that I've watched.
Sometimes lucky is good. I don't know what happened first, but my old black cat "Mimi" came over and gave me a nose kiss and head rub while betting a cold exacta with some long-shots, whose connections jumped off the screen to me, yesterday, and they came in for ~$180 for each $2 punch. Quit for the day and broke out the treats... Hard game to break even in, and when I get lucky enough to win, I try to value the dollar the same. When I lose many a tough beat or a 'shut-out' that wins I take a break and fight the urge to chase.


Want to give a shout out to my friends at Triple Clowns, as well.
Nice group of people, and in addition to the Racing Stars that we recognize at first glance, they have some solid Horseplayers of the type that we'd enjoy breaking down a card with on the show. I've been fortunate to meet a few, and they genuinely do a nice job, with insights, and often knowledge of a home track.
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 01-19-2021 at 11:08 AM.
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