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Old 02-05-2009, 05:04 PM   #21
classhandicapper
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I think the Wolfson horse is a much more blatant example of probable cheating.

1. The horse moved from a top notch barn to Wolfson. It didn't come from a relatively unknown trainer or one without an outstanding record.

2. Wolfson had the horse for less time and it was not laid off. So he had less time and opportunity to correct any problems or improve the horse via legal means.

3. The horse won by 15 lengths. So there's almost no chance the figure is off by much given that everyone else in the race ran figures more or less in line with the PAR of the class. That's not the case with TOFP. In the latter case, a 117 assumes the 2nd horse is also a budding champion sprinter and the well beaten 3rd and 4th horses are both above average for the class.
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