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Thread: Improvement
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Old 02-05-2009, 04:08 PM   #16
Indulto
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 5,138
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
One other thing...of these horses:

... Not one of them had the big jump without improvements in between:

... To try to convince people This One's for Phil was normal improvement seen many times every day is simply ludicrous.
I think you ae misinterpreting Kling's point which I understand to be that while this is not NORMAL improvement, it doesn't prove it was accomplished through CHEATING. Even if you believe that both the UNUSUALLY high Beyer number and the preceding low one were both accurate (and there are reasons to suspect they may not be due to the the vagaries of figure-making as opposed to the competence of the Beyer team), there are rational, legitimate reasons for the horse's improvement including the possibility the animal may have real ability that only maturation brings about.

DO I believe there is a drug problem? Yes. Do I believe Dutrow has used medication illegally in the past? Yes. Do I believe Dutrow is an UNUSUALLY competent horseman? Yes. Do I believe Wolfson uses medication illegally? No. Do I believe that both Byk and Kling going out of their way to support Wolfson is significant? Yes. Do I think Beyer's article would have been less controversial and more effective had he not speculated about any trainer's reputation other than "Phil's?" Absolutely!
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