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Originally Posted by lamboguy
why would a trainer want his horse not to try?.
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It's not an issue of trying. Do you run horses knowing it just so green that's it's not going to do well? It just doesn't have enough experience handling all the noise and the obstacles, such as shadows and rails. And you know it doesn't have a chance? But the crowd bets it down anyway for whatever reason? And you think-- the crowds is crazy?
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Wind extinguishes a candle and energizes fire.
Likewise with randomness, uncertainty, chaos: you want to use them, not hide from them. You want to be fire and wish for wind. -- Antifragile, Nassim Taleb
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