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Old 08-27-2018, 08:49 PM   #7
Form W-2G
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Syracuse, NY
Posts: 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
PP....ARR..........ACR
1..... 115.00..... 118.83
2..... 115.67..... 119.33
3..... 119.00..... 124.00
4..... 117.33..... 120.33
5..... 117.50..... 119.67
6..... 113.00..... 115.00
7..... 113.50..... 116.67
8..... 116.00..... 117.00
9..... 117.50..... 121.67
10... 116.17..... 118.50
11... 116.67..... 119.83


From my spread sheat on the Travelers.
Do you average previous RRs and CRs? If so, how deep do you go? Going 3 deep on the RR for this horse would return a 115 average which in my opinion seems reasonable. Going 4 back to the Wood Memorial would return a 115.25 average but further than that we get into maiden contests where the RR is understandably lower and would give us a RR closer to that which is reflected in your work.

I have no other explanation other than the 117 being a typo. I find that disheartening. Brisnet says the Avg RR category describes "an average of most recent Bris Race Ratings" yet I think we can all agree there is no way the average of anything can be greater than any of the elements in the sample being scrutinized. I hope such errors, if indeed it is a typo, are few and far between as I rely on Bris numbers exclusively.

My pension amount was derived, in part, by reviewing my annual salary history over 30 years and averaging the highest 3 years. Unfortunately for me, the bean counters at the State pension system didn't use Brismath.
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