Quote:
Originally Posted by SG4
I was wondering if any kind of stat or program exists to give jockeys something of a performance expectation rating. What I mean by this is say a jockey is on the 4th betting choice in a race & they finish 2nd, I'd give them a +2 score that race, or if you're on a favorite and finish 5th they'd get a -4 for that race. Wonder if an average score would help identify riders who may be over/underestimated by the betting public, or could possibly help identify upcoming apprentice jockeys as ones to watch.
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Hey SG4
This sounds like a good idea public 4th finishes 2nd is a +2 but a public 1st choice finishing 5th is a -4.
My Jockey data isn’t where it needs to be but I can do this for Trainers at NYRA but I would use the Morning Lines since the odds are subject to change while the race is actually running as we’ve all seen
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...d.php?t=142423
Also, I would imagine a public 1st choice finishing 1st = 0 which would indicate that the outcome was expected so they wouldn’t earn a score for that situation
They would only earn a positive score if they finished better than what was expected and I guess you can add up the scores to see if they are performing above or below expectations
I will look into that I’m all for anything that goes away from using earnings as a criteria to rate Trainers
