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Old 10-12-2018, 12:08 AM   #78
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
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Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
Quote:
Originally Posted by Actor View Post
I did a study of 182 races at Aqueduct, 6 furlongs on dirt, no mud, cheaper horses. The results indicated that the 5 lengths per second is reasonable at the 2nd call and finish. At the 1st call 6 lengths per second seems to be the norm.

When I get around to it I plan to repeat the study for other tracks, distances and classier horses. First I need to rewrite the software. At this point a lot of the math is manual.
I've never found five lengths per second to be good enough at 6f unless it is a really slow track, even for the worst horses. Some horses that are not being persevered with much, sure, but not those in contention.

The truth is the rate varies from race to race, fraction to fraction, and depends on a lot of things. There really is no one size fits all.
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