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Originally Posted by thaskalos
I honestly don't understand the question. Don't your short-priced contenders win more often than your long-priced ones? If you start betting strictly on your longest-priced contenders...won't you suffer longer losing streaks then if you wagered on your "top selections"?
As for which style of betting is more "emotionally taxing"...I think most players would agree that betting against their top choices is more stressing...because this style of betting leads to considerable second-guessing. While losing when betting your "top selection" is indeed unpleasant...watching your top choice win while you are betting on your high-priced 4th choice is even worse. In my opinion, at least.
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If your selection process puts you on the chalk then you are correct. The question was whether your selection horse would necessarily win more. I wasn't making a statement suggesting a higher priced horse would win as often as a lower priced horse. Poorly worded on my part for sure.
The biggest breakthrough I ever made was learning not to be selection oriented. I have found many (not you) handicappers get their ego too involved with their handicapping. They take their wins and losses way too seriously.
