Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
There are no certainties in this game.
You don't always know if you are dealing with a very good horse that just happened to catch a soft trip or a mediocre horses that took advantage of one, but it doesn't always show up in the figures or margins of victory. So if you automatically downgrade all those horses you'll be making an error some of the time. You'll make fewer of them by looking at the horse's form coming into the race. But in the end I agree the price matters.
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Rubber-stamping soft wins based on prior performances leads to missed opportunities. The performance level of most horses varies, at least a bit, in every single start.