Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I do almost the same thing with some of my automated running style metrics.
I look at exactly 4 races, I throw out the worst one, use the remaining 3, and weight them more towards the recent races. Since some of my metrics are automated, I'm not going to try to code for every possible excuse for a terrible performance. Tossing the worst one helps. When I actually handicap I'm aware of those kinds of things and can make small mental adjustments.
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One thing that is important for me is to look at similar but different. Best of last 10 SR, weighted last 4 SR, pace line SR, distance adjusted time for paceline. Similar concept for pace.
I am looking to see if everything is in harmony or some numbers suggest differences attributable to form cycle or possibly other factors.