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Thread: Value Capper ?
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Old 01-23-2019, 01:55 PM   #80
Appy
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Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: Flint Hills
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mikesal57 View Post
let me take a stab at how he bets.....because I have f&^%ing nothing better to do

To live decent these days , would a $150,000 do it......I say yes

So , I doubt he bets horses under 3-1....and doesn't chance those $20 horses

Lets say about a $10 avg payout


he wins 9 out of 12......

lets take $5000 as his normal bet....

5000 on a $10 winner= $25,000

25,000 x 9 = 225,000

12 x 5000 tot bets = 60,000

----------------------------
Profit = 165,000


there it is!!!!!...

now let me bother someone else

You are conceptually correct mikesal, but overshooting for that particular year. His average W odds are about 5-1 and he only pulls the trigger when his confidence level is very high that the public is making an error in judgement. Worth noting that year for him was significantly impeded by an extremely serious hospital stay.

Tom, I enjoy your comments, but in this case I am certain your SS income never compares to what he customarily pulled down. He's what I consider a big player. The amount I risk in a month is less than he spends on a single W play.
As for the cost of ValueCapper, you only need to hit one race pretty well to more than cover the purchase price. Part of the Pizzolla education is learning to avoid gambling, while recognizing and maximizing the investment opportunity.
During my 30 day trial I missed on some plays, but hit one for $28+ on a horse I wouldn't have considered were it not for the software's method of identifying horses with potential to win. Pizzolla himself told me he thought my winning choice was "a reach". LOL.
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