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Old 04-14-2021, 03:30 AM   #4
jay68802
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Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
Final Cut 15/1: As pointed out, the speed, and, your typical need the lead type. Great spot, and normally a play at these odds. Problem is, the turf at Keeneland has been very unkind to speed this meet.

Stunning Sky 2/1: The one to beat, and a money burner. Turf runner no doubt, only win showing was with a very fast pace, in a G 3. Seconds, in slow paced races. Can't bet at 2/1.

Amazima 12/1: At the right distance, wins in average paced races. Gets the right pace, but is facing class droppers. Hard pass.

Joy Epifora 3/1: Can be close in this race. Made a very long run in last, got the lead, and failed. Never won in the US. This one can beat me.

Alnaseem 12/1: Trainer is 3 0 0 0. Yep small sample, but the sample size gets one larger here, and does not improve the trainers record.

Winter Sunset 4/1: Matched lifetime best, second off a long layoff. At 5 yrs old, has 10 starts. Can not trust.

Temple City Terror 3/1: Can't ignore, at least not in this race. If you have to bet this race, this is probably the bet. One look at the horses form, might change your mind.

Would not be excited for this race.


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Last edited by jay68802; 04-14-2021 at 03:31 AM.
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