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Thread: Louisiana Derby
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Old 03-22-2023, 09:06 PM   #4
Nitro
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Join Date: Feb 2009
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FAIR GROUNDS SAT 3-25 -LA DERBY - R12…….
Code:

PP	M/L	ENTRY			PROFILE
#1	12/1	Shopper's Revenge	OM/88/GWO
#2	2/1	Instant Coffee			NF/93/XWO - RACE OVER TRK
#3	12/1	Curly Jack		OM/89/FWO/ RACE OVER TRK
#4	5/1	Sun Thunder				OF/92/XWO/RACE OVER TRK - NO MUD
#5	10/1	Disarm				ON/91/ XWO 
#6	6/1	Kingsbarns		OM/93/FWO
#7	12/1	Cagliostro			ON/89/ GWO- RACE OVER TRK
#8	15/1	Single Ruler				NF/90/ FWO/ RACE OVER TRK
#9	10/1	Tapit's Conquest			NF/93/ GWO/ RACE OVER TRK
#10	12/1	Denington			ON/92/ XWO/ RACE OVER TRK-LIKES MUD
#11	12/1	Jace's Road		MK/93/ GWO /RACE OVER TRK- NO MUD
#12	20/1	Baseline Beater				OF/86/ GWO/ RACE OVER TRK
Based on the forecast for Sat the track should be fast.
As of today (Wed) the surface is playing favorably for those both making and running on the pace.
The LA Derby seems to be an evenly matched race with currently decent odds value.

I see the early speed coming from the , , and .
Of these perhaps the and hang on for a piece.
Note: Of these two the has the better WOs and a race over the track.
The best of those running ON the pace should be the , , and .
All three show excellent WOs, but only the and have raced over the track.
Of the Closers the and seem best and have raced over the track, but the showing the better WOs.

In this 1-3/16-mile race I don’t see any of the front runners wiring this field.
My final choices and betting structure will be based on how the betting shapes up.
In the meantime, I’m leaning toward keying both the and with the , , , and for vertical play.

GL
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