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Originally Posted by EMD4ME
Andy Serling 2016, AQU inner track meet, ROI based on TOP selection only.
Picks today:
Race 1 6
Race 2 1
Race 3 6
Race 4 4
Race 5 3
Race 6 2
Race 7 2
Race 8 2
Today 0/8. Minus $16
If anyone has his picks for Wed-Sat, please post the page/link.
If anyone can help track his winners throughout the meet, please do so. I'd appreciate the help!
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I went through this with this whole board in 2009. All I got was hate. So I do not give my opinions now regarding TLG and many other things.
I am the only person I know that ever tracked TLG's picks in details AFTER scratches. Here was his results from the Saratoga 2009 meet:
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Originally Posted by Light
Betting top pick to win
364 races
-7.4% ROI
Invest $728 Return $674
Betting top 2 picks to win
354 Races (I missed 1 day)
-16% ROI
Invest $1409 return $1190
Betting top 3 picks in a $1 exacta box
354 Races (I missed 1 day)
-12% ROI
Invest $2036 Return $1786
Data is after scratches. If one of his 4 picks was scratched the others moved up. It worked as much to his advantage as to his disadvantage. I would say scratches helped more than hurt his ROI in all 3 categories.Additionaly,if only 2 of his picks were left after scratches,I only charged him $2 for the exacta box. If only 1 pick was left after scratches,he didn't get charged for an exacta nor for having a 2nd pick.
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Go to my post #48 (in the link below) if you want to see the actual Excel sheet with the data. I actually made other studies of him back around that time and they were about the same.
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...9&page=4&pp=15
Disclaimer Please do not tell me how I hate TLG. I do not. I could kiss him (No I'm not gay). I'm an open person. My original intention was to see if he actually was a golden goose. He's not. At this point I have made up my mind on his abilities and that's all that matters to me. I am not interested in convincing anyone either way of his abilities or lack of them.I am just trying to save the OP a headache and answer his desire for data on the subject.
