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Originally Posted by chadk66
when you bet horses that have been off for a year and a half your taking a big risk. horses that were off that long are usually off due to a severe injury of some kind. no trainer or jockey in their right mind are going to take a risk of wasting all the time and money of bringing a horse back from that long of a layoff by blowing the thing up to please a bettor. just the cold reality of it. they will get the horse to show some interest early but at the first sign of fatigue/fade/disinterest they wrap em up to not blow a hole in the horse.
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That may be true for horses off a year and a half; this horse was off 2 months, having last run December 27 before the Feb 21 race. He wasn't asked for anything at all early, and lagged quite a bit far back. The horse made progress without any urging, and saving ground on second turn helped.
