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Originally Posted by Charlie D
I read your post Thaskie,YOU made the correct move, but used your 25-1 as an example of races people should be passing.
Why would anyone NOT bet on horses that are falling into the most likely winners category???
Betting a 25-1 at 10-1 when horses are more likely to win is just as daft, YOUR 25-1 poke idealy needs to be the Fav, second fav or at a piush 3rd fav on YOUR line before betting it.
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Charlie...
The 25-1 shot was only an example that I used, to make a point about betting situations that I avoid...and yet, you refer to it in all your posts.
Forget about the 25-1 shot. It says nothing about the way I play.
YOU ASK: "Why would anyone NOT bet on horses that are falling into the most likely winners category?"
ANSWER: When the most probable winner is not going off at the "right" price - as far as our betting line is concerned - should he be bet to win?
What are we arguing about here? Even money shots to win?
Is this why you became such an advanced pace handicapper...and "match-up" enthusiast? In order to isolate on the even money shots?
