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Adding to yesterday, another surprising bit of info. The slower the pace, the bigger the average margin of victory. The faster the pace, the smaller it gets. Conventional wisdom has been that slow paces bunch them at the wire, but the data doesn't show that. This was true regardless of surface and distance with one small exception, turf sprints are nearly even for average and slow paced races.
However, one thing did go as expected. When comparing turf to dirt, as the pace slows, the value of a length definitely changes with pace. The faster the pace, the closer the values become on the different surfaces. The slower the pace, the more they spread apart.
Last edited by cj; 01-07-2015 at 11:56 AM.
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