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Thread: Final selection
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Old 11-15-2019, 08:51 PM   #15
thaskalos
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,569
Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
I know exactly where you are coming from on this and agree, but I think that depends on how you think about the races.

If I look at a race and feel certain the 5th choice is underrated and is probably the 2nd or 3rd most likely winner and I have good line on all the issues that tend to confuse me (like layoffs, surface switches, a horse coming off a bad race on a very off track it usually handles, whether there is a bias and will the riders adjust..) that's a strong opinion on which to construct some kind of bet.

If I really dislike the favorite and feel totally confused about the rest of the race, I've been known to bet 2 or even 3 horses to win.

It's when I feel like I have no strong opinion on how well several key horses are likely to run today that I personally feel lost.
"Some kind of bet", you say....and yet you call this a "strong opinion". When the 5th betting choice on the board looks 3rd best to you...what type of bet would you contemplate making? And, if you decide on a win-bet...would you bet the same amount as you would if the horse was your top handicapping choice in the race? The 3rd-best horse would demand a reduction in the bet sizing...NO?
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