Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
I've never found five lengths per second to be good enough at 6f unless it is a really slow track, even for the worst horses. Some horses that are not being persevered with much, sure, but not those in contention.
The truth is the rate varies from race to race, fraction to fraction, and depends on a lot of things. There really is no one size fits all.
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Exactly, The value of how long it takes a horse to run a length, or how many lengths a horse covers in a second depends on how fast the horse is actually running. Carroll finds that using 5 lengths per second more accurately describes harness racing than T-Breds. I find that the formula of 6 lengths per second to be the most accurate in most cases but there will be exceptions.
A more accurate method is to use that particular races' actual velocity in that race segment to calculate how long it to took to run the distance in beaten lengths from the leader and just add that to the leader's time.
