|
Andy's right, HC will be overbet, especially if it doesn't appear to be a speed bias. Very hard race, first time vs salty older horses for HC and he will be in the back in a large field. 2-1 or 5-2 might be an ok price, but my gut tells me he will be closer to 1-1.
Someone mentioned Green Gratto, that's an amazingly interesting horse, started off his career with Beyers of: 34, 22, 20, 0 and 46. Than, starting in his 6th lifetime start, he reeled off Beyers of: 73, 77, 90, 95, 83, 92 and 93.
Now he's back to the 40s and 50s. You rarely see that kind of jump, from a horse who can't run at all, to a serious horse running 90+.
I might take a shot with Crafty Dreamer, he likes the track, has a nice work over it on Nov 13th, he's going to need racing luck in this wide open affair.
|
