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I understand about tossing out one low price horse, even better if you can toss two. I guess the question, I am asking, do you wager only on the horse with matching natural odds, what do you do with the other top choice who is a contender, or other contenders who have less than their natural odds?
The way, I understand the capper al's statement you bet just the natural odds horse. I may be wrong in my interpretation and that is why, I asked the question.
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I understand about tossing out one low price horse, even better if you can toss two.
First, my experience is that when I am tossing two low-priced horses, I (or my approach) probably has misunderstood the race. I do not play such races.
do you wager only on the horse with matching natural odds, what do you do with the other top choice who is a contender, or other contenders who have less than their natural odds?
Actually, what I do is to make a probability line for everyone in the race and penalize the non-contenders severely.
I have experimented with automatically playing those "natural odds" contenders and they are, in fact, significantly profitable. However, the question of how to play them is a big one because they really do not win very often. I am looking for more consistency, and that generally comes from the other
profitable contenders.
Of course, this pre-supposes that you are good at tossing low-priced horses; that when you say they are "losers" they really are.
An important reminder: That does not mean the horses you toss cannot win. It means that the win few enough races relative to the way they are bet that their backers lose huge money. (Like 40% or more.)
If you really want to know how I play, and how YOU can duplicate what I do to make a probability line, just order the
Renegade Handicapper.
Just to make it easier for anyone interested here, I have lowered the price to $47 for a few days (usually $77).
Dave