Quote:
Originally Posted by turninforhome10
Just to clarify, this is not a pick maker thread. My selections are predicted for what the odds should be based on risk. I am trying to find favs that are vulnerable and play multiple WPS show tickets with 2nd, 3rd or 4th odds horse. Beat the fav, take the pool. I am merely trying to find value in the WPS pools. I am not a big DD or P3 player. I will play exotics but I am not big on posting picks anymore. That said
Delaware 8th Race.
DELAWARE PARK 07-17-2017 RACE 8 OF 9
Weighting Factors 5 9
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
5 KING OF NIGHT *62.95 1.58 4-1
4 POPPYS SALSA 53.48 1.87 4-1
3 NICOS ON THE RUN 50.21 2.45 6-1
2 REFUNDED 47.78 2.83 7-1
1 RUNAWAY KING 43.21 *1.34 4-1
6 D S BOYD 41.72 2.83 8-1
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
5 KING OF NIGHT 2.5 BOYCE F. TROMBETTA M. J.
1 RUNAWAY KING 1.8 CHIAPPE R. JAYARAMAN K. K.
4 POPPYS SALSA 3.5 ALMODOVAR G. CRONK S. F.
3 NICOS ON THE RUN 6.0 CENTENO D. REID M. J.
2 REFUNDED 8.0 CASTILLO A. HAWTHORNE B. A.
6 D S BOYD 8.0 COA K. J. KIRBY T.
Method Success - WGR-/234 $3 - 100 RACES, WIN 89.00 07-17-2017
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So not to shabby, the
pays 9/5 which is close to the 4-1(4-1 translates to 2-1, cut the odds in half for payout),
is right at 2-1,
was getting play at 4-1 on the tote.
drifted for 4th. 13.80 for the
was not bad money. Tri was meager. Not tuning my DB and mixing the Arabians with the Thoroughbred data.
Here is the raw data un-tuned for the 9th.
DELAWARE PARK 07-17-2017 RACE 9 OF 9
Weighting Factors 1 1
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
7 DESERT HONOUR *58.44 *1.41 4-1
2 BUTCH CASSIDY LZ 51.94 3.16 8-1
6 RISKY RED 51.62 2.83 7-1
5 CHNDAKASEXPRESS 49.29 1.73 5-1
4 SERGEANT PEPPER 47.68 2.45 6-1
3 RB HOCUS POCUS 46.71 2.83 7-1
1 FINE HESST 41.84 2.00 6-1
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
7 DESERT HONOUR 2.0 CHIAPPE R. ASHBY L. A.
5 CHNDAKASEXPRESS 3.0 SPIETH S. GARZA B.
1 FINE HESST 4.0 SWAN K. ASHBY L. A.
4 SERGEANT PEPPER MHF 6.0 SANTOS A. RITTER S.
6 RISKY RED 8.0 PAZ R. POWELL S.
3 RB HOCUS POCUS 8.0 WALES T. WALDRON B.
2 BUTCH CASSIDY LZP 10.0 COA K. J. POWELL S.
Happy Cappin and will be back for next weekend and the Spaaaaa
