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Old 04-04-2024, 12:38 PM   #9
Poindexter
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 2,038
Quote:
Originally Posted by Redboard View Post
Hard to believe that playing two DD parlays would pay better that a pick 4. If a pick four had 2x5x3x2 and the better was dead after the second leg, then all of his/her money would go into the pool. If it were two DDs at 2x5 and 3x2 then that bet would not include the second DD money. That would still be alive.

Every time I ever hit a DD it didn't pay much. I'd rather do a Pick 3 because at least the last leg is a blind pool.

Food for thought though Poindex.

Now if Keenland reduced the Pick3 takeout or even the exacta takeout, that would get my attention.
Didn’t say better I showed it would pay 8 percent worse on average. I just provided some reasons why that 8 percent disadvantage might be worth it (mainly better race selectivity).

When they pay back 85 cents on the dollar instead of 78 cents on the dollar that should average to about a 9 percent better payout on every double. Compounded over a daily double parlay that would be an 18.8 percent increase over what you would have gotten back at the old takeout, theoretically.

Just for the heck of it I will compare the double parlay payoffs and the pick 4 payoffs to see how this plays out. I will post after every 3 racing days or so.

Not following your point about the 2x5x3x2 pick 4. A 50 cent pick 4 would cost $30. On a daily double parlay you would bet a $3 double 2 x 5 or $30 on the first double and would not get a chance to even play the second double. Now if instead you lost leg 3 or 4 you would have a second bet on the late double (increasing the amount you bet which might help you in the player rewards department). Rebated players likely would bet higher rebates in the pick 4 pools and typically pay a pretty consistent takeout throughout, so they typically always get good pricing (you know the way it should be for everyone).
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