Quote:
Originally Posted by davew
...Anyone willing to predict how many inches the oceans will be higher and the average temperature will be higher in 2050? The 97% climate scientists must have accurate models because of their settled science, but I can not seem to find them.
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There's plenty of projections out there - you must not have looked very hard....
https://therevelator.org/interactive-map-climate-2050/
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/science...a-map-for-that
Just click on the maps near where you live to see how much wetter or warmer it will be in your neighborhood.
The problem with forecasting sea level changes or temperatures is inflection points. We have plenty of paleoclimatology analyses to validate how the Earth's climate has changed over time, but most models smooth the rates to fit the data, implying slow changes. However, with systems like the Earth's climate, rapid changes can happen in short periods of time, and if the next three decades passes a point like that, we could see a huge swing (relatively speaking). For example, if a model happens to accurately predict that by 2100, sea level will be six feet higher than today, that doesn't mean a straight line of about 1 inch per year. (current rate is about 0.13 inches per year, but poised to accelerate). There could be a short term bump as one of the ice shelves breaks off.
Personally, I'm not too worried by climate change. We'll have much, much bigger problems to face as a species prior to 2050.
