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Thread: Arkansas Derby
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Old 04-11-2021, 02:20 PM   #34
Spalding No!
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Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,053
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer View Post
I don't agree, but I'm not going to knock a score like that. The Kentucky Derby day payouts (WPS, EX, P3) were relatively easy and extremely generous for someone with your opinion before the race.
To be clear, my opinion is all after the fact. I didn't handicap or even watch the Haskell or the Kentucky Derby last year. I was biased against Authentic from the get-go based on his late start, his ridiculous Sham running line, and more importantly his sire. Into Mischief for the most part produces talented but fragile milers.

I accepted the popular post-race assessment of the Haskell because it fit with that bias and his SA Derby loss. I figured he had no shot at Churchill until the entries showed that there wasn't much speed in the race, but I didn't look any closer than that.

I only went back over his performances in detail after Tiz the Law's owner Jack Knowlton basically intimidated that Authentic was "juiced" in the Derby (I guess I can't blame him considering Baffert's 2020 record). But I thought the horse simply got away with murder by being left alone on the lead. I didn't think he would get away with it twice (especially after his Preakness loss when having to mix it up on the front end). But somehow he did again in the BC Classic.
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