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Early speed in turf routes is of value only if a horse actually gets the lead. Beyond that, there is no advantage whatsoever to being placed more forwardly than approximately midpack.
I did my own study of middle distance turf races a few years ago and the horses running in 2nd position after 4f had no significant advantage in win impact value compared to horses running 3rd/4th/5th-- and in fact the horses in 2nd position at the 4f call made fewer appearances in vertical exotics than any of the other top five early running positions.
Last edited by RXB; 07-13-2016 at 01:34 AM.
Reason: Clarification
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