Quote:
Originally Posted by bobphilo
Just to show an example of the failure of common sense in racing. It used to common sense that closers that made big stretch gains, especially if they were going up in distance, were good bets. Quirin's study showed that, in fact, the big stretch gain was the weakest of all the form factors in both Impact Value and R.O.I. and a big money burner. So much for "common sense".
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I've never been a handicapping book guy. Not saying they don't have merit. I expect they do.
I remember reading a stat, heck it's got to be 40 years ago, that said 78% percent of horses that win sprint races in North America are never worse than 3rd at any point in the race.
Simplistic to be sure. However, just having it in the back of my mind assuredly has prevented me from a lot of bad plays and saved me $$millions over the years.
