Quote:
Originally Posted by zico20
... Now, if you bet him in the Preakness futures at 22-1 you are looking great! ...
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A wise person once told me, "it's only an overlay if it wins...."
The
dog looks very tough, has room for upside, and numbers that dwarf the other runners. I can't believe I foolishly posted Mage might be 5-1 in the Preakness if he won the Derby (in the Preakness futures thread), nor can I believe I bet a couple of other horses and not him in that pool. I agree with you that Mage will be 4-5 or so.
The negative I see is that Mage has made his move on the turn in the last two races, and trying that with the tighter turns at Old Hilltop might, just maybe, will leave him a bit short in the stretch. Though, admittedly, Mage looks like he could regress, run a 99 Beyer, and still possibly win by 5.
So, I'm looking for the
dog to "Summer Squall" Mage, the way Unbridled got beat, and hope for the best. Maybe use cheap a cold super or SH5 for a saver, though the 1,5,6,7 look an awful lot a like after the top two.
Good luck!
