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Thread: Breeders Cup
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Old 10-09-2018, 02:21 PM   #33
papillon
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Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 282
Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney View Post
I'm against Accelerate. Sadler probably doesn't fare as well outside California, and this horse did look bad in the Awesome Again, despite winning.
And West Coast looked even worse despite coming in second, which he only re- inherited by default.

Given WC's supposed level of natural talent, even coming off of a long layoff, he should have won that race. Absolutely no excuses. Didn't McKenzie prove that? Didn't Justify? How many lengths did Accelerate spot him by running wide the whole race? He couldn't have held on to two of them?

He looked as bad as he did in the DWC. Thunder Snow looked as good. He looked as bad as he did in the Pegasus given he was in the cat bird seat, the Lance Armstrong seat, regarding crosswinds the entire race, completely protected.. Collected took the worst of it, but Gun Runner was almost as bad. There is no way he should have been able to not only hold on, but to distance himself. WC finished as good as he did due to position, not talent.

Horse player's no nothing about crosswinds. Crosswinds are the most feared thing in cycling. No other horse had a chance after the field split and they lost the hind of the horse in front of them. Happens in the Veulta every year. I only saw two cyclists who did what Gun Runner did, Jan Ullrich and Eddy Merckx--distance themselves from the feild in crosswinds. It was certinly, based on difficulty, the greatest performance by any horse this century. WC was just that lucky wheel sucker. You show that race to any cyclist, even if they know nothing about horse racing, and they'll say the same thing.

You won't get great odds on WC, but more power to you. Maybe you can replicate the Arrogate/Collected exacta from last year's BCC or the WC/Collected exacta from the Pegasus with McKinzie/WC. Or the WC single in the DWC.

The best horse WC has ever beaten is Gunneverra. That might be a profitable exacta--they finished 1/2 in the Travers and the BCC and the Pegasus. Can we put an X in the DWC? Magic rail and impossibility to close and injury and all that?
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