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A minimum of 10% return is huge for a negative pool. It's no wonder that 50k got bet into this race. Essentially, then, MNR is guaranteeing a 100% premium over the tradional 5% return on negative pools. That is one bet I'm more than willing to take.
However you must be correct 91 times out of 100 to make it work with a 10% return, which beats the heck out of having to be right 96 times out of 100 for a 5% return.
A 91%+ hit rate for show is certainly within reason for any handicapper who is selective. Count me it at MNR for 10% to show.
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