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In this race there are 2 E8, and 3 EP runners. More than half the field likes to either be on the lead or pressing the speed.
Yes the numbers say that she should get a clear advantage to the first call. But the chances are that she will have company no matter how fast she goes. Look at the other E8 in the race. She also consistently runs to the first call with figures in the 90's range. The figures are good but the 1, IMO, only has about a 1/2 length advantage over the 3, and if the 3 goes, and that is likely, the 1 is going to have company and will not get a break till the stretch.
i have a old program that i really liked. What it did with E horses was round down the top horse, and round up all the other E horses. So in this case the 1 would be rated 95 and the 3 would also be rated a 95. This seemed to match what happened in the races more often than just going by the numbers alone.
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