Quote:
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Originally Posted by cj
Just to be clear Gus, I wasn't relating the field size as shrinking. I'm just saying field size is a big factor in the percentage of winning favorites.
Average field size:
2007, 8.70
2008, 8.68
2009, 8.73
2010, 8.68
2011, 8.53
2012, 8.70
It doesn't even appear to be shrinking, but certainly is a big variable in favorite success.
I'll send this to him tomorrow. He went off air right after he made his statements.
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You are right, of course, and that should be obvious to everyone...Perloff included.
The shorter the field...the higher the likelihood of the favorite winning.
But I am still stunned by the average field sizes over the last six years...
I would have never guessed...
