Quote:
Originally Posted by Saratoga_Mike
Let's use RP -- that's where we actually know what the horses weigh pre-race. The exercise is of no value, in my opinion, if we can't compare his estimate of the horse's weight to the actual weight of the horse (within a few pounds).
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Thinking some more...
Let's define "pre-race."
Horse races on September 1. Let's say he comes out of the race OK and goes to the barn. You now have a running line for him in the PPs.
Horse is now entered for September 20. He's been fed, groomed, exercised, walked, jogged, medicated for 19 days.
Where within that span is the pre-race weight for the September 20 race calculated?
What if the layoff was 7 days? 30 days?
