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Originally Posted by glengarry
What a great point. The only post that spells nearly certain trouble is the 1. Just a funky set up for 1 1/4 at Churchill for the rail horse. I have seen a lot of Derbies, and the winners manage to get clean trips, whether from the main or auxiliary gate. Seattle Slew had some issues early, but he was a superhorse. Not seeing any of those in here. Part of luck depends on the rider and the athleticism of the horse. But in every Derby someone gets the nightmare trip, like Risen Star or Lookin at Lucky. Or the horse does it to himself with a poor break. No telling who it will be this year. As the man said, it may just be bad luck.
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The thing about an inside draw - you break slow, you're really up against it.
So much traffic starts coming towards the rail.
Nearly impossible to win from the inside with a poor break.
Anywhere else.....just stay in the clear as best you can.
