Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke
I would never make a show bet that I knew was going to pay back $2.10
but the West Virginia tracks - Mountaineer and Charlestown have a regulations that requires them to pay back double; a minimum of $2.20 or 10% profit
I've never done it, but do you think that considering the payout is double that it could ever be a good bet? i.e. a short field of 5 or 6 in a 4.5 furlong race that features one horse that is obviously much faster than the rest of the field
also, because of the higher payout there are many jumpers there creating opportunities to bet against the big horse
what's your opinion?
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If you look at the "Who is shelling all of these 1-9 and 1-5 shots?" thread, you'll see one of the database posters indicated a show-bet ROI of roughly 0.90 on horses bet down to 1/9. I assume some of those bets were in WV and IA, but maybe in isolation (just WV and IA) you could get to breakeven, not sure. However, as RF stated this type of play will not be welcomed by your ADW.
