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Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I think the rider made the finish unnecessarily close, but I don't think she was going to win by open lengths no matter what he did.
I don't have the handicapping sophistication to judge horses from England/Australia to know whether she ran sub par (for whatever reason) or whether that was the best she's got. But I sense this was not at her best because I assume Timeform has at least a decent line on cross border racing and her initial Timeform rating for today has already been estimated at way below her Aussie form.
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Who estimated that? This is from the Sydney Morning Herald, although it seems a stretch to me.
"Black Caviar scored the narrowest but sweetest win in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot last night.
Luke Nolen gave the nation a heart attack when he tried to give her an easier time in the last 100 metres.
As his rivals rode out with the whip, Nolen appeared to sit up with 75 metres.
It was only in the last couple of strides he realised the unbeaten mare could get beaten and pushed hard to hold off French second favourite Moonlight Cloud and Restiadargent...
Timeform is expected to lift Black Caviar to 137 or 138 making her the highest rated mare in history after the win surpassing Allez France, the French champion of the 1970s, and England's great sprinter of the 1980s, Habibti..."
