Some more updates...
Referendums;
Ukrainians actually want to join Russia... badly.
Fighting;
Reports are the Ukrainian Army is active in Kreminna if so that's curtains for the Russian forces in Lyman.
Russia is having some success with Iranian Suicide drones. They're easy to bring down but insanely cheap to build apparently which creates material disparity. Nobody wants to waste S300 tubes on drones that cost a couple thousand bucks. I'd suspect the next batch of aid will include some EW kit.
Gas;
Nord Stream 1 and 2 have both been damaged with severe leaks. This looks like it was intentional (Russia did this). The pipelines have been off anyway but it's a new development of the conflict growing into new areas.