Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
I've broken the 10% mark for the first time after yesterday's results:
Top pick went 7 for 24 and returned $82.50
TOP PICK (OVERLAYS ONLY) Running total (46 Days):
96 for 449 | $898 Wagered | $997 Returned | $1.11 ROI ($1.00 = Break Even)
All plays went 9 for 50 and returned $121.70
ALL PICKS (OVERLAYS ONLY) (46 Days):
154 for 1071 | $2142 Wagered | $1943.40 returned | $0.91 ROI ($1.00 = Break Even)
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Congratulations! It will be interesting to see the results of the next block of races, compared to the first (400) block. Many would believe it wise to "quit while ahead" and stop posting before (what some believe will be) the "inevitable decline." That is pure nonsense.
I think most realize that a 400 race sample does not necessarily illustrate a pattern of normally distributed events that will be perfectly replicated in the next 400 (or 4000, or 40,000) races. The point they miss is that--because it does not represent a "normal distribution over a very large sample"--it is equally likely that the next block of races will have even BETTER results than the original sample.
Personally, I hope you keep posting your selections (or the results at least--I don't pay much attention to the selections) and that you experience a long and illustrious pattern of continuous improvement in results. The horse race industry needs more (highly visible) winners and fewer whiners. Again, congratulations on your accomplishment.
